Covid Deaths Down 90%

LTD.330

LTD.330

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This article caught my eye https://outkick.com/media-ignores-90-coronavirus-death-collapse-in-country/ So I dug a little deeper.

I went to The COVID Tracking Project at https://covidtracking.com/data/us-daily and looked at their historical data. According to their data 2496 deaths on occurred on April 21 and 298 deaths on June 21 for an 88.1% decrease.

The data from CovidTracking.com is eye opening, as it is a non-biased source. They have compiled data by state showing current and cumulalitve totals of positives, hospitalizations, In ICU, and On Ventilators.
 
Just got this in my inbox:
June 23 Live updates: Seven states report highest coronavirus hospitalizations since pandemic began
According to data tracked by The Post, Arizona, Arkansas, California, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas all reached new peaks as the number of infections continues to climb across the South and West. More than 800 covid-19 deaths were reported in the United States on Tuesday, the first time fatalities have increased since June 7.
 
alnav said:
Just got this in my inbox:
June 23 Live updates: Seven states report highest coronavirus hospitalizations since pandemic began
According to data tracked by The Post, Arizona, Arkansas, California, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas all reached new peaks as the number of infections continues to climb across the South and West. More than 800 covid-19 deaths were reported in the United States on Tuesday, the first time fatalities have increased since June 7.
Click to expand...

No source? Fake news.
 
alnav said:
Please do point out how this link shows a dramatic drop in hospitalizations.

Meanwhile, here is another source for increased hospitalizations in several states:
Weekend sees record high coronavirus hospitalizations, cases for these states
https://www.foxnews.com/health/week...virus-hospitalizations-cases-for-these-states
Click to expand...

94% tests are negative. 6% are positive. By definition that is a dramatic decrease in not only hospitalizations but also mortality rate.

I knew I’d have to read it for you.
 
El Capitan said:
94% tests are negative. 6% are positive. By definition that is a dramatic decrease in not only hospitalizations but also mortality rate.

I knew I’d have to read it for you.
Click to expand...
Actually, your equation is only valid if the number of tests remains constant, but the number of tests has been increasing. The decrease in the percentage of positives is a good sign that more cases are being identified but when it goes back up, as it has in several states, it indicates potential trouble.

I agree with the OP that the overall US picture looks much better right now but I believe it's been driven by improvements in the northeast and midwest. Washington state also has overall improved but as Mike points out, there are areas with increasing cases.

The threat right now appears to be the states with new case rates approaching the exponential growth phase after accounting for the increase in tests. This is reflected in the increases in hospitalization in those states. Hopefully they will not overload their hospital systems or experience the same mortality rates as states that went through this earlier but only time will tell.
 
LTD.330 said:
This article caught my eye https://outkick.com/media-ignores-90-coronavirus-death-collapse-in-country/ So I dug a little deeper.

I went to The COVID Tracking Project at https://covidtracking.com/data/us-daily and looked at their historical data. According to their data 2496 deaths on occurred on April 21 and 298 deaths on June 21 for an 88.1% decrease.

The data from CovidTracking.com is eye opening, as it is a non-biased source. They have compiled data by state showing current and cumulalitve totals of positives, hospitalizations, In ICU, and On Ventilators.
Click to expand...
I listen to Clay Travis almost every morning. He's a sports talk show for those that don't know him. He's been claiming to be dealing only with the raw data and not paying attention to the politically driven summaries provided by most online information sources. He's been saying since day one that this far far less of a problem than portrayed by internet news.

Frankly I don't really know what to believe. It would be a full time job, with lots of overtime, trying to sort through data and come to conclusions myself.
 
Seems to be getting better here in PA. Our county has only had about 6 or 7 new cases in the past 4-6 weeks. We are a smaller county so have to factor that in. Total we have had about 87 cases in our county since this all started
 
MonacoMike said:
What is the precise definition of a "new case"?
Click to expand...
Here you go: https://wwwn.cdc.gov/nndss/conditions/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/case-definition/2020/

Long read but in a nutshell, the vast majority of new cases are individuals with a positive lab-confirmed coronavirus test ("Confirmed" case). There are also "Probable" cases which are based on clinical criteria outlined in the CDC guidance.

Once an individual becomes a case, subsequent positive or negative tests don't effect the case counts but are reported in test stats.

The numbers reported by the states and reflected in the media are usually positive cases confirmed by PCR tests, so represent infections which overwhelmingly have started in the last few days.

There have been differences in how the data has been reported like probable vs. confirmed, PCR vs. antibody, etc. that have been resolving over time. CovidTracking.com as referenced by the OP documents way an individual state reports if one is interested.
 
alnav said:
Here you go: https://wwwn.cdc.gov/nndss/conditions/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/case-definition/2020/

Long read but in a nutshell, the vast majority of new cases are individuals with a positive lab-confirmed coronavirus test ("Confirmed" case). There are also "Probable" cases which are based on clinical criteria outlined in the CDC guidance.

Once an individual becomes a case, subsequent positive or negative tests don't effect the case counts but are reported in test stats.

The numbers reported by the states and reflected in the media are usually positive cases confirmed by PCR tests, so represent infections which overwhelmingly have started in the last few days.

There have been differences in how the data has been reported like probable vs. confirmed, PCR vs. antibody, etc. that have been resolving over time. CovidTracking.com as referenced by the OP documents way an individual state reports if one is interested.
Click to expand...

So now that we have a good number of testing available, that did not exist 90 days ago, the panic porn media is going nuts over what we already knew about this pandemic, namely there were a lot of asymptomatic carriers.
 
Unfortunately this will go through the rest of the year. The MSM and the left will continue to fear monger and exploit this, facts be damned. They need this to be in place come late October and early November, so they can have a covid19 procedure in place at voting locations. Six foot distancing, everyone wear mask, and the voting booth must be cleaned after each use. This will drag voting down to a crawl, when people realize it will take 8 hours of standing in line to vote. Many will simply forgo voting and stay away.
 
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