Hurricane Idalia

copb8tx

copb8tx

Well-Known Member
SILVER Sponsor
Jan 26, 2008
2,840
Highland Village, TX/Port Richey, FL
Boat Info
SOLD 2005 420 DA w/T-8.1S Horizons
Engines
2018 Sea Hunt 255se w/Yamaha 300hp
Well, here we go again. It's looking like our place in Florida has good chance of getting hit. I 'think' the condo will be ok but I'm concerned about everything on ground level, which is my boat, truck, jeep and storage sheds full of bicycles and boat stuff, not to mention the sheds themselves.

If it comes in at high tide we'll be in pretty big trouble.
 
I am on our boat now, been rigging lines this morning.

Having to make choices on where to leave flex to accommodate possible surge versus predominant wind.

flying out tonight, airport closes at midnight.
 
Also on the boat in Fort Pierce. Looks like we might miss the worse of it. Praying for those on the west coast.
 
My boat is parked in a spot about 5' above high tide. The surge would need to be 8'+ to float it. Jeep and Truck would likely start sustaining damage at about a 6' surge.

I have friends lashing the boat down just in case. Not much I can do with the vehicles though.
 
Alot of people lost boats in the last one , Ian that sux
 
0735 EST - Idalia is still a Tropical Storm as of early this morning but expected to move to hurricane status sometime today.
The models have it moving slightly eastward where Tampa still is on the south side but the storm surge/waves will be worse yet. It looks like Jacksonville will get hit near dead center on the land exit. We in Cape Canaveral are now in the "yellow" zone which triggers hurricane preps at the marina. So, guess where tomorrow is spent....
Be safe!
 
ttmott, I’ve done the search but can‘t find the post from one of our older members about hurricane prep. Can you locate it and post for all our new members? Folks be safe and watch this one, it looks as if it my hit both coasts. Don’t turn your back on this one. Don’t panic like the news groups seem to be pushing but get yourselves ready.
 
copb8tx said:
What online resource to you find is most up to date and accurate in following the progress of the storm?
Click to expand...

Tropical Tidbits is a great site. That and the National Hurricane Center
 
When they talk about x feet of storm surge, is that over the tide level at that moment in time, or is that over the baseline MLLW level?
 
I suppose that could/would vary by the source.
In the case of the NHC, they reference ground level + (inclusive of tides)

Peak Surge 11am 0829 update.png
 
copb8tx said:
What online resource to you find is most up to date and accurate in following the progress of the storm?
Click to expand...

I don't think there is one single site that you evaluate - except for the National Hurricane Center. It is the typically the final gospel. Challenge is they are not the earliest to the table with projections. They tend to be a bit slower to take a position.

In advance of NHC, tropical tidbits, Mikes Weather Page (I find it a bit emotionally driven, ie excitement level sometimes. Then getting into individual tools. Ventuski referenced above, even Windy. Whole host of input, some are just compiling information from other sources, some have value add.

Because I am remote I want information and guidance as far in advance as I can, so I pay for a weather service which for over 6-7 years has been incredibly accurate in longer range projections (longer than NHS). Its not that my service is different analysis than NHC, they just tell me a couple of days earlier. If I lived close to my boat, it might not be worth it.
 
scoflaw said:
Same exact path Ian was predicted to take just before the hard right turn that devastated FMB.
Click to expand...
shhhhhhh!! Don't give it any ideas.......
I'm prepping for and expecting a 3-5 surge here. If we get the surprise turn, then write the check, premium boy!
 
FootballFan said:
I don't think there is one single site that you evaluate - except for the National Hurricane Center. It is the typically the final gospel. Challenge is they are not the earliest to the table with projections. They tend to be a bit slower to take a position.

In advance of NHC, tropical tidbits, Mikes Weather Page (I find it a bit emotionally driven, ie excitement level sometimes. Then getting into individual tools. Ventuski referenced above, even Windy. Whole host of input, some are just compiling information from other sources, some have value add.

Because I am remote I want information and guidance as far in advance as I can, so I pay for a weather service which for over 6-7 years has been incredibly accurate in longer range projections (longer than NHS). Its not that my service is different analysis than NHC, they just tell me a couple of days earlier. If I lived close to my boat, it might not be worth it.
Click to expand...

I really like the Ventuski site @ttmott posted yesterday. So much detail and so well presented. Only issue with it is that its projected path is completely different from everything else out there. It seems to project the storm almost going due north, without the more acute right hand bend everyone else expects.

I figure if I follow it I'll have better luck :)

Just had my two vehicle moved to (slightly) higher ground and the boat is lashed to it's carport, that is held down by deeply buried posts. My floating dock that's held in place with two pilons and two cables doesn't stand a chance as it's completely exposed to the south.
 
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