Anyone out there running around Florida at the moment?

[jff]

We're in Miami, planning/wanting to head South down Biscayne Bay and out into Hawks tomorrow and by Friday North up the Gulf side towards Sarasota (likely via Moser Channel). I'd love to compare weather thoughts (I'm looking at various sources to draw conclusions on what we're looking at) with anyone on a similar itinerary and/or get some updates from anyone out there already in Hawks Channel, etc. Feel free to post back or just PM me. Thanks!

Regards,
Jason

 

[fwebster]

We've got a boat and property in the Panhandle so we watch the weather closely. I think the storm is small enough and the Gulf water is cool enough at this point in the summer that Debby's strength isn't going to increase much if any. Miami and the Keys are out of the tropical storm force wind predictions, but this storm is moving slow enough that you guys will see some surge in the form of higher than normal tides and much higher than normal seas. We normally have 2-3 ft swells this time if year and seas are forecast to be 10-14 ft until Tues as the storm approaches. The models call for the storm to turn west toward Texas so the south Fla conditions should improve pretty quickly after that turn occurs.

Now, I"m not the weather channel and don't profess to be a meterologist, but I have watch storms in the Gulf closely for about 25 years now........so the above + $1 will buy you a cup of coffee.

 

[Four Suns]

........so the above + $1 will buy you a cup of coffee.

You obviously have not bought a cup of coffee in some time.

 

[docofthebay]

Here is the wind and wave forecast for the Ft Myer to Tampa region for the week

[h=1]Marine Forecast for 27.25º N / 83.0º W[/h] Conditions suitable for most marine activities Caution. Small craft advisory Hazardous conditions. Use extreme caution​	NEW Buoyweather Fishing Toolsare now available in this region. Try it now >>

[h=3]7 Day Marine Forecast[/h]Model Cycle 2012 JUN 24 06Z Time Zone: GMT - 5 Hours

Sunday 6/24​ Morning​ Gale warning with dangerous seas. Small craft advisory. Use extreme caution. Large short period wind waves. Winds: SSE 26 to 35 knots Seas: SSW 10 feet at 9 sec. Afternoon​ Gale warning with dangerous seas. Small craft advisory. Use extreme caution. Large short period wind waves. Winds: S 28 to 38 knots Seas: SW 12 feet at 10 sec.

Monday 6/25​ Morning​ Gale warning with dangerous seas. Small craft advisory. Use extreme caution. Large short period wind waves. Winds: SSW 26 to 35 knots Seas: SW 11 feet at 9 sec. Afternoon​ Very windy with large choppy seas. Small craft advisory. Large short period wind waves. Winds: SSW 24 to 32 knots Seas: SSW 10 feet at 9 sec.

Tuesday 6/26​ Morning​ Gale warning with dangerous seas. Small craft advisory. Use extreme caution. Large short period wind waves. Winds: SSW 27 to 36 knots Seas: SW 11 feet at 9 sec. Afternoon​ Gale warning with dangerous seas. Small craft advisory. Use extreme caution. Large short period wind waves. Winds: SSW 28 to 38 knots Seas: SW 11 feet at 9 sec.

Wednesday 6/27​ Morning​ Very windy with large choppy seas. Small craft advisory. Moderate short period wind waves. Winds: WSW 23 to 31 knots Seas: SW 9 feet at 8 sec. Afternoon​ Windy conditions with choppy seas. Small craft advisory. Moderate short period wind waves. Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots Seas: WSW 7 feet at 7 sec.

Thursday 6/28​ Morning​ Light and variable winds with smooth seas. Small short period wind waves. Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots Seas: WSW 3 feet at 5 sec. Afternoon​ Light and variable winds with smooth seas. Small short period wind waves. Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots Seas: SW 2 feet at 5 sec.

Friday 6/29​ Morning​ Light and variable winds with smooth seas. Small short period wind waves. Winds: W 3 to 5 knots Seas: SSW 1 feet at 5 sec. Afternoon​ Light winds with a slight chop. Small short period wind waves. Winds: W 7 to 9 knots Seas: SW 1 feet at 4 sec.

[h=3]Wind & Wave Forecast[/h]

	Sun 24 7am	Sun 24 1pm	Sun 24 7pm	Mon 25 1am	Mon 25 7am	Mon 25 1pm	Mon 25 7pm	Tue 26 1am	Tue 26 7am	Tue 26 1pm	Tue 26 7pm	Wed 27 1am	Wed 27 7am	Wed 27 1pm	Wed 27 7pm	Thu 28 1am	Thu 28 7am	Thu 28 1pm	Thu 28 7pm	Fri 29 1am	Fri 29 7am	Fri 29 1pm	Fri 29 7pm	Sat 30 1am	Sat 30 7am	Sat 30 1pm	Sat 30 7pm	Sun 1 1am
	35 26	38 28	35 26	37 27	35 26	32 24	32 24	35 26	36 27	38 28	36 27	39 28	31 23	23 17	14 10	7 5	8 6	7 5	9 7	3 2	5 3	9 7	8 6	11 8	9 7	8 6	10 7	7 5
	SSE	S	S	S	SSW	SSW	SSW	SSW	SSW	SSW	SSW	SW	WSW	WNW	NNW	NNW	NE	NW	NW	WNW	W	W	WSW	WSW	W	WSW	WSW	WSW
	13 10	16 12	14 11	14 11	14 11	13 10	13 10	14 11	14 11	15 11	14 11	14 11	12 8.9	8.9 6.9	6.5 5	4.6 3.6	3.4 2.6	2.6 2	2.2 1.7	1.6 1.2	1.2 0.9	1 0.8	0.9 0.7	1.1 0.8	1.2 1	1 0.8	1.1 0.9	1.3 1
	9	10	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	8	8	8	7	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	2	3	3	2	5
	SSW	SW	SW	SW	SW	SSW	SW	SW	SW	SW	SW	SW	SW	WSW	W	W	WSW	SW	SSW	SSW	SSW	SW	SW	WSW	WSW	WSW	WSW	SSW

 

[Summer Fun II]

This doesn't look like fun time. :wow: . :wow:

http://www.earthcam.com/cams/florida/sanibel/

 

[BritLady]

Think I would stay put for awhile until she's moved on...we're in SRQ live inland about 5 miles from the gulf on a lake and even it's white capping today Our boat is firmly tied up in the yacht club basin and that's where she's stopping until Debby's gone...long gone Tides are really high today too. Our son lives on the water further along the coast and it's pretty rough, in fact their road is flooded and folk are kayaking down the street!

 

[jff]

We're not scheduled to head North (from Key West) until Friday so hopefully by then things will have settled down, if not we'll hang out in Key West. In the meantime we're going to head down the keys from Miami, tomorrow they are calling for 3-4s in Hawks Channel (not ideal but within our comfort limits, we try and avoid 5's and 6's - although when they say 3-4s that usually means there will be some 5's here and there). Anyway, thanks for the report, sounds like the gulf side is getting hammered!

 

[BritLady]

Hopefully by Friday things should have cleared up. Take care going there, it can cut up rough quick, like you say 3-4's can soon turn out much bigger we had 17 footers in the Gulf today! Have a safe trip to Key West. Where are you staying in Sarasota...Marina Jacks, LBK? If you're at MJ's great place you can walk to for breakfast or lunch a little north of the Ritz Carlton on the left is the Mango Cafe....great food and no I don't own it or know who does