PeteL
Active Member
- Aug 2, 2010
- 245
- Boat Info
- 2003 280 DA
Twin 5.0
Bravo III
"Viva la Vida"
- Engines
- Twin 5.0, bravo 3 drives
The IHME model the White House relies on projects daily deaths of just about 3,000 by New Years. So, yes there is evidence we might be above the April highs. The model also projects that deaths could be held at right about the current level with better adherence to masking and social distancing. They are basing their projections on the impact of seasonality so somewhat uncharted territory, at least in this hemisphere. But, we are already seeing the colder countries of Europe starting to register huge increases in cases, too soon to say if that will increase the death count. I remember seeing opinions on here back in May or so that the virus was going to completely disappear, at least for the summer, it didn't work out that way.
I just looked at that website. I would like to see the projection v. observation for the same period. Just to see how close to reality the projection was over time.